Glorious Goodwood - Saturday

Well just when it looked like I was about to have a losing day, up popped Catfish in the lucky last to put me ahead again. The SP of 8/1 also showed the value of getting early prices, which in this instance doubled the pay out.

Summary: Bet - 30pts, Return - 44pts, Profit - 14pts
Overall Profit - 99.05pts

Race analysis for the final day of the festival as follows:

2:05 - A difficult start again. One of the Kevin Ryan runners could pop up at a decent price, but the one that stands out to me is Novellen Lad.
Recommended Bet: Novellen Lad - 6pts @ 14/1* (William Hill)

2:35 - Verdant is respected, while Sabotage could well outperform its long odds, but Investissement's course and distance win is the persuasive factor that divides the three of them.
Recommended Bet: Investissement - 4pts @ 12/1* (William Hill)

3:10 - A match between Midday and Snow Fairy. Preference is for Midday but the present odds are too restrictive to tempt a bet.
No Bet

3:45 - A low draw looks favourable, and the huge field means we want to get a decent price on any selection. The three that fit that scenario that have a squeak are Crown Choice, Mon Cadeaux and Global City. When do you get to bet Frankie at 40-1? This is it!
Recommended Bet: Global City - 3pts ew @ 40/1 (Paddy Power)

4:20 - Sports Section is my fancy here, but again the odds presently available are too restrictive.
No Bet

4:55 - The Brian Meehan stadium are firing at the moment and it looks like he has another likely 2 year old here.
Recommended Bet: Safari Storm - 3pts @ 8/1* (Tote)

5:35 - Henry Cecil's Frankel has been the star of the show this week and I fancy the trainer to have the last winner as the meeting bows out, in Diescentric.
Recommended Bet: Diescentric - 2pts @ 12/1* (William Hill)    

Other TV races:
2:20 Newmarket: Majestic Dream - 2pts @ 10/1* (Ladbrokes)
2:50 Newmarket: Ballyea - 1pt @ 16/1 (Coral)

Glorious Goodwood - Friday

Three great days running now with another two winners yesterday and a long priced placed horse too. Is four winning days too much to hope for? Let's find out!
Summary: Bet - 39pts, Return - 73.65pts, Profit - 34.65pts
Overall Profit - 85.05pts

Todays race analysis as follows:

2:00 - A difficult start to the card. Redwood has a favourites chance, and I could probably see Drunken Sailor running well too. However Campanologist is a huge price and has to be backed to return to form today.
Recommended Bet: Campanologist - 6pts @ 14/1 (Coral)

2:35 - Western Aristocrat should win if adapting to the extra furlong, but I also give chances to Neebras and Questioning, so there is little value at its current short odds.
No Bet

3:10 - Sagramor's trainer was desperate to get him in this race, which he has just done by the skin of his teeth. The low draw is an added bonus. Of the others Cai Shen is a good each way prospect.
Recommended Bet: Sagramor - 6pts @ 13/2* (William Hill)

3:45 - Hannon has another favoured 2 year old in Harbour Watch and I wouldn't discount his second string, Eureka, either. However Saigon is a big price, probably because its from a small yard, and has to be backed.
Recommended Bet: Saigon - 6pts @ 9/1* (William Hill)

4:20 - I am torn here between Glee and West Leake Hare who I find difficult to split. On the basis of its low draw I'll plump for Glee.
Recommended Bet: Glee - 2pts @ 7/1* (Tote)

4:50 - If Memory could be guaranteed to leave the stalls then she would probably be my pick, but that is no certainty. Dever Dream looks a likely alternative.
Recommended Bet: Dever Dream - 6pts @ 17/2 (Coral)

5:25 - I like the look of Catfish, who is available at fancy odds, and has a nice low draw to benefit from.
Recommended Bet: Catfish - 2pts ew @ 16/1 (Skybet)

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Glorious Goodwood - Thursday

Well thats more like it! If Goodwood goes on like this it will quickly become my favourite festival, as almost on its own it has transformed my fortunes within its first 2 days. Lets hope the remainder of the festival continues in the same manner, and today we'll look to play up some of our winnings.
Summary: Bet - 16pts, Return - 76pts, Profit - 50pts
Overall Profit - 50.4pts
Todays analysis as follows:

2:15 - Again I like the Johnston/De Sousa combination here and Oceanway looks a good bet. Best alternatives are Labarinto and Boogie Shoes.
Recommended Bet: Oceanway - 6pts @ 11/1* (William Hill)

2:45 - Amour Propre looks the only one that I could possibly seeing beat Masamah who is my nap of the day.
Recommended Bet: Masamah - 8pts @ 5/1* (William Hill)

3:15 - Opinion Poll definitely has a shout here as does Red Cadeaux, but Manighar has looked like a probable winner of one of our big long distance races for a while now and I think today will be the day.
Recommended Bet: Manighar - 6pts @ 6/1* (William Hill)

3:45 - Wild Coco could be anything, but looks too short in the betting, which leaves me to decide between Field Of Miracles and Shankradeh. With the trainer of the former expressing a few doubts about the ground I'll plump for the French invador.
Recommended Bet: Shankaredeh - 6pts @ 6/1* (Ladbrokes)

4:20 - The previous two days 2 year old maidens have gone to previously unraced types and I favour the same today.The Hannon horses, Santarini and Star of Bombay are fancied but at a big price I'll go for Amber Silk.
Recommended Bet: Amber Silk - 2pts win @ 35 (Betfair), 2pts place @ 11 (Betfair)

4:55 - This looks a match between Dimension and Tuscania. The latter is presently the longer odds, and therefore the better value.
Recommended Bet: Tuscania - 4pts @ 7/1* (Tote) 

5:25 - Another race where I see two possible winners, namely Pavana and Kinyras. I slightly prefer Kinyras, but will keep stakes to a minimum.
Recommended Bet: Kinyras - 1pt @ 11/2* (Tote)

4:50 Galway - The big race at Galway, the Guinness Handicap Hurdle also offers a decent betting opportunity now that the reserve Princeton Plains has got in the race, with Redera being my pick until then.
Recommended Bet: Princeton Plains - 2pts win @ 32 (Betfair), 2pts place @  6 (Betfair)

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Glorious Goodwood - Wednesday

Well that's a bit more like it! Handicapped all yesterdays races fairly well, and am now back in profit, albeit only minimally. It could have been even better if Strong Suit had gone out a little in the betting, but nevermind, onwards and upwards hopefully.

Summary: Bet - 17pts, Return - 40.5pts, Profit - 23.5pts
Overall Profit - 0.4pts

Race analysis for day 2 as follows:
2:00 - Another big field handicap to start off. The Johnston/De Sousa combination looked good yesterday and Exemplary could run well, but I'm going for Cosimo De Medici whose late running style will hopefully be suited to the extreme distance of the race.
Recommended Bet: Cosimo De Medici - 1pt ew @ 16/1* (William Hill)

2:35 - This looks a match to me between Red Duke and Chandlery who reoppose after a win for the former. Chandlery now has a weight pull, but I get the feeling Red Duke might pull out more to triumph again. 11/4 is best price at present, and any bet will be dependent on 3/1 being available later.
Recomended Bet: Red Duke - 4pts (only if SP is 3/1 or higher)

3:10 - What a race! Canford Cliffs is top class, but I get the feeling Frankel is extra special, and could be one of the all time greats, so I believe Frankel will win. However the odds make a bet unfeasible.
No Bet

3:45 - I can see Tanfeeth and Watercourse being thereabouts but Whiplash Willie is on the upgrade and looks a good thing at the odds.
Recommended Bet: Whiplash Willie - 6pts @ 9/1* (William Hill)

4:20 - I don't fancy any of the horses who have already raced, which leaves me torn between Deduction and Rakasa. My slight preference is for the Godolphin runner.
Recommended Bet: Rakasa - 2pts @ 7/1 (Coral)

4:55 - I have a shortlist of Common Touch, Shamandar and Zenella. Shamandar looks to have slightly more scope for improvement and has the best jockey on board.
Recommended Bet: Shamandar - 2pts @ 15/2* (William Hill)

5:30 - Blessed Biata looks to have a big chance here for its in form yard, and I can see a quick double for the Haggas/Moore combination.
Recommended Bet: Blessed Biata - 2pts @ 7/1* (Tote) 

5:25 Galway - The big race in Ireland is worth a look too. I have it between the John Kiely trained pair, Head Of The Posse and Wise Old Owl. It looks like there has already been some money for the latter, so that is probably the one to go with.
Recommended Bet: Wise Old Owl - 2pts @ 11/1* (Ladbrokes)

Glorious Goodwood - Tuesday

Only 1 winner again on Saturday. Onto Glorious Goodwood now which offers a catalogue of historical races to judge likely types to step up to the plate on the big occasion.

Summary: Bet - 13pts, Return - 11pts, Loss - 2pts
Overall Loss - 23.1pts

Todays Goodwood analysis as follows:
2:00 - A nice big field handicap to start. Forte Dei Marni looks to have a good shout, but Jutland looks overpriced and is from a yard that regularly produce winners of this type of race.
Recommended Bet: Jutland - 2pts ew @ 33/1* (William Hill)

2:30 - Fiorente looks a good thing, but there is no value at the odds available. I can see Highland Castle outperforming its odds, but maybe not enough to beat the favourite.
No Bet

3:10 - I like Strong Suit here, but would like at least odds of 3/1. Presently it is 11/4 at best.
Recommended Bet: Strong Suit - 8pts (SP if 3/1 or higher, otherwise no bet)

3:45 - Requinto looks to have a good chance but the draw could prove problematic, and Vocational looks to provide a great value bet.
Recommended Bet: Vocational - 8pts @ 12/1* (William Hill)

4:20 - Sequoia stands out to me of those that have already raced. With no unraced types winning this race in the previous 10 years I'm prepared to strike a line through their chances.
Recommended Bet: Sequoia - 2pts @ 100/30* (Ladbrokes)

4:50 - Another wide open handicap. Kajima and Veroon could provide each way value, but I'll keep stakes to the minimum for this and plump for Guest Book.
Recommended Bet: Guest Book - 1pt @ 11/1* (William Hill)

5:25 - Another tough handicap to finish, but I like the chances of the top weighted Secret Asset to come through and run well.
Recommended Bet: Secret Asset - 1pt ew @ 16/1* (William Hill)

Ascot/Newmarket/York - July 23rd

A little better last week, but could do with finding a nice priced winner to provide some ammunition for Glorious Goodwood next week.

Summary: Bet - 9pts, Return - 11.75pts, Profit - 2.75pts
Overall Loss - 21.1pts

Today's bets as follows:
2:00 York: Rent Free - 2pts @ 14/1* (William Hill)
2:15: Newmarket: Club Oceanic - 2pts @ 5/1 (Coral)
2:30 York: Creme Anglaise - 1pt @ 8/1 (Coral)
2:45 Newmarket: Ishbelle - 1pt @ 7/1* (William Hill)
3:05 York: Class Is Class - 1pt @ 9/2* (Ladbrokes) 
3:20 Newmarket: Cinderkamp - 1pt @ 7/1 (Coral)
3:40 York: Fathsta - 1pt @ 10/1* (William Hill)
3:50 Ascot: Leviathan - 2pts ew @ 16/1 (Coral)

Market Rasen/Newbury/Newmarket - July 16th

Poor day last Saturday, so will hopefully turn the tide today.

Summary: Bet - 19pts, Return - 0pts, Loss - 19pts
Overall Loss - 23.85pts

Only minimal stakes today, with doubts surrounding the effect of the forecast rain on generally good/firm ground. Bets as follows:

2:05 Market Rasen: Laterly - 2pts @ 14 (Betfair)
2:20 Newbury: Deacon Blues - 1pt @ 3/1* (William Hill)
2:55 Newbury: Belle Royale - 1pt @ 11 (Betfair)
3:10 Newmarket: Audemar - 1pt ew @ 16/1* (Coral) 
3:30 Newbury: Mention - 1pt ew @ 16/1* (Coral)
3:45 Market Rasen: Pilgrims Lane - 1pt win @ 30, 1pt place @ 6 (Betfair)

Newmarket/York - July 9th

Back in the game courtsey of Coeus yesterday, and with any luck Dever Dream could have followed up too.

Result over the last 2 days as follows:
Summary: Bet - 19pts, Return - 26pts, Profit - 7pts
Overall Loss - 4.85pts

Some nice racing on offer today, with decent sized fields offering good value if we can find it. Today's bets as follows:
2:05 York: Doctor Parkes - 1pt ew @ 20/1* (Ladbrokes)
2:20 Newmarket: Commissar - 2pts @ 12/1* (Ladbrokes)
2:40 York: Theology - 2pts @ 12/1* (Coral)
2:55 Newmarket: Angels Pursuit - 2pts ew @ 33/1* (Coral)
3:15 York: Beachfire - 4pts @ 10/1* (Coral)
3:35 Newmarket: Star Witness - 3pts @ 6/1* (Ladbrokes)
3:55 York: Capital Attraction - 1pt ew @ 18/1* (William Hill)
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Newmarket/York - July 8th

My little cold spell continues, but onwards and upwards (hopefully). Today's bets as follows:

1:20 Newmarket: Admirable Spirit - 1pt @ 16/1* (Coral)
1:50 Newmarket: Coues - 2pts @  12/1* (Wiliam Hill)
2:25 Newmarket: My Propeller - 2pts @ 5/1* (Ladbrokes)
2:35 York: Dever Dream - 2pts @ 8.2 (Betfair)
3:00 Newmarket: Joviality - 1pt ew @ 16/1* (Coral)
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Newmarket - July 7th

A nice winner to start the day last Saturday, but unfortunately couldn't back it up with more of the same.

Summary: Bet - 13pts, Return - 14pts - Profit - 1pt
Overall Loss - 11.85pts 

Newmarket's July Meeting starts today and fancies as follows:
1:50 Newmarket: Church Music - 4pts @ 11/2* (William Hill)
2:25 Newmarket: Glencadam Gold - 2pts ew @ 25/1* (Ladbrokes)
3:00 Newmarket: Campanologist - 2pts @ 8/1* (William Hill)
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Haydock/Sandown - July 2nd

Poor weekend last week putting me into the red after an ok Royal Ascot.

Summary: Bet - 14pts, Return - 0 pts, Loss - 14pts

Overall Loss - 12.85pts

Can't decide between So You Think and Workforce in today's big race so no bet there, but remaining bets today as follows:
2:00 Sandown: Night Carnation - 2pts @ 6/1* (Ladbrokes)
2:15 Haydock: Reflect - 1pt @ 8/1 (William Hill)
2:35 Sandown: Start Right - 4pts @ 8.2 (Betfair)
3:25 Haydock: Sharaayeen - 4pts @ 8/1* (William Hill)
3:40 Sandown: Sentry Duty - 2pts @ 9/1* (Ladbrokes)

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