Friday, 29 July 2011

Glorious Goodwood - Friday

Three great days running now with another two winners yesterday and a long priced placed horse too. Is four winning days too much to hope for? Let's find out!
Summary: Bet - 39pts, Return - 73.65pts, Profit - 34.65pts
Overall Profit - 85.05pts

Todays race analysis as follows:

2:00 - A difficult start to the card. Redwood has a favourites chance, and I could probably see Drunken Sailor running well too. However Campanologist is a huge price and has to be backed to return to form today.
Recommended Bet: Campanologist - 6pts @ 14/1 (Coral)

2:35 - Western Aristocrat should win if adapting to the extra furlong, but I also give chances to Neebras and Questioning, so there is little value at its current short odds.
No Bet

3:10 - Sagramor's trainer was desperate to get him in this race, which he has just done by the skin of his teeth. The low draw is an added bonus. Of the others Cai Shen is a good each way prospect.
Recommended Bet: Sagramor - 6pts @ 13/2* (William Hill)

3:45 - Hannon has another favoured 2 year old in Harbour Watch and I wouldn't discount his second string, Eureka, either. However Saigon is a big price, probably because its from a small yard, and has to be backed.
Recommended Bet: Saigon - 6pts @ 9/1* (William Hill)

4:20 - I am torn here between Glee and West Leake Hare who I find difficult to split. On the basis of its low draw I'll plump for Glee.
Recommended Bet: Glee - 2pts @ 7/1* (Tote)

4:50 - If Memory could be guaranteed to leave the stalls then she would probably be my pick, but that is no certainty. Dever Dream looks a likely alternative.
Recommended Bet: Dever Dream - 6pts @ 17/2 (Coral)

5:25 - I like the look of Catfish, who is available at fancy odds, and has a nice low draw to benefit from.
Recommended Bet: Catfish - 2pts ew @ 16/1 (Skybet)

* Guaranteed Odds     

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